Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Chargers
is back this season
after breaking his leg in September of the 2014 season. Woodhead was a big part
of the chargers offense in the 2013 season. A sneaky value play that season,
Woodhead is on my list of late round value guys you can look to plug in as a
platoon at your running back or flex spots this season.
Image source: nypost.com |
Taking a look at the Average Draft Position (ADP) to find
value players to take in a PPR league is a good preseason practice. Sure
leagues might play out a little differently, but overall I have found that the
values are pretty similar. Some of that can be attributed to the rankings on a league site influencing the players that show
available at the nearby picks. So knowing the players and where they tend to go
in drafts gives owners a head start over their opponents in draft strategy.
This is where we find Woodhead. With an ADP of 107 according
to fantasypros.com PPR rankings, Woodhead is a good addition to a Fantasy team
for a multitude of purposes. He can be used as a bye week fill in for the RB2
or flex positions. If punting on the RB2
spot in favor of either a heavy early wide receiver draft, or take an elite
quarterback or tight end in the early rounds, then Woodhead can be immensely valuable.
Taking a look at his 2013 numbers with the Chargers,
we find
that Woodhead was a very productive guy in PPR formats. He had over 1000 yards
combined, 429 rushing and 605 receiving. Along with his solid yardage
statistics, Woodhead also scored eight total touchdowns during the 2013 season,
two rushing and six receiving. He made his hay in long yardage situations and
in the red zone. On plays where the Chargers had 10 or more yards to go,
Woodhead gained 625 of his yards. In the red zone he had 18 rushes, scoring on
two of those. But his big key to the red zone offense for San Diego was his
receiving in the red zone. In 2013 he caught 19 passes in the red zone, scoring
on five of them. That is excellent efficiency, scoring on about one of every
four red zone passes he caught.
The schedule for the Chargers breaks in two completely
different directions. The run defenses they will face are by far better than
the pass defenses. The average run defense the Chargers will face is 17.68, the
ninth easiest schedule in the league. They will only face five Top 10 run
defenses. The pass defenses on the slate this season are much harder. The
schedule is ranked 27th overall, with an average of 13.75. Eight Top
10 pass defenses from last season await them. Traditionally Woodhead has played
well against lower ranked defenses.
The season opens with a tough game at home against Detroit,
the top run defense last year, and 13th against the pass, but it
gets better from there. After Week 1, the Chargers face bottom half run defenses
in five of the next six games. Fantasy playoff time finds the schedule breaking
very well for the Chargers running game. In Week 14 the Chiefs stout pass
defense and 28th ranked run defense host San Diego. Week 15 finds
the Chargers hosting the long traveling, pass defending, and 24th
ranked run defending Miami Dolphins. In many leagues championship games, the
Chargers travel to Oakland and face their 22nd ranked run defense
and 16th ranked pass defense. If the playoffs play to Week 17, a
difficult divisional road match up awaits the Chargers in Denver. Denver
sported the number two run defense and the number nine pass defense a year ago.
With the fact that Woodhead is returning from an injury
Fantasy players will definitely want to keep an eye on him in training camp and
preseason games to make sure that he is healthy and still able to play. The
Chargers also drafted Melvin Gordon, a solid pass catching back, who may be
able to keep Woodhead at bay if he can pass block well. Branden Oliver showed well
as the Chargers running back last year in the absence of Woodhead for a few
games, so his usage and position on the depth chart should also be monitored.
A possible boon for Woodhead might be found in the
suspension of Antonio Gates. With gates out for the first four games of the
season, San Diego will be without one of their red zone targets. This may serve
to boost the usage of Woodhead in the red zone, leaving his Fantasy owners to
reap the benefits.
If Woodhead can win his spot back as the long yardage, third
down, and red zone back for San Diego, he might be a player that can help
fantasy owners win a championship in the 2015 season. His late round ADP makes
him an easily attainable resource for any team.
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